Yesterday I had the pleasure of spending an hour with Robert Scoble (author, tech evangelist, and blogger-extraordinaire) at his PodTech office in Palo Alto. Scoble's blog (Scobleizer) and video program (Scoble Show) are viewed by many, many tens of thousands of loyal fans.
The two things that struck me about Scoble are his accessibility and affability. I called him up out of the blue (his telephone number is on his web site), and said, "I'd like to meet you." "Fine," he responded, "how about tomorrow at three?" When I met him, I knew immediately that I'd like him — he's very down to earth and friendly.
We chatted about his work, my work, and then I gave him a Ball of Whacks. Here is a photo of Robert happily playing with it
Actually, this photo is not a bad metaphor of what a conversation with Scoble is like. He's playful. He puts ideas together in different ways. He tries different ways of looking at things — some of them brand new. He sees the obvious. And he has fun doing it.
I mentioned that I had been at Google the day before and that company had reminded me of Apple in the early 1980s: "Lots of young people, lots of energy, and no parking." I asked where he saw Google going, and if anything could stop them. "I'm not sure anything can stop them, not even a deep recession. They got a lot of smart people there." He paused a bit, and continued, "Maybe there is one thing: the Department of Justice." And he went on to give his theory that the Feds went after IBM for monopolistic practices after it had been in business for 50 (or so) years; they came after Microsoft after it had been in business for 25 (approximately) years; perhaps the Feds will go after Google when they're twelve. Interesting theory.
"What are your keys to success?" I asked. He mentioned that he works hard and "loves to talk with Geeks." But the key reason is that "I was in the right place at the right time." Scoble was a very early adopter of a disruptive technology, namely, blogging and other Web 2.0 social media tools. From there he built an audience, a great set of contacts, and a name for working hard and having "take-after-provocative-take" of what was really going on in the burgeoning blogosphere.
I then asked him, "Where was Microsoft in 2004-05 when this was happening? Why didn't they see the opportunities?" Scoble's response was revealing. He showed me a memo he had written to senior Microsoft execs more than two years ago. In it, he outlined the great future in store for the various social applications. Microsoft didn't buy Scoble's vision.
Scoble then gave the following metaphor: "Which would you rather have: a penny that doubles its value every day for thirty days, or $100,000?" On day 15 of this exercise (which is where the new web 2.0 apps were when Scoble made his proposal to Microsoft) that penny was now worth a little more than $300. But Microsoft felt that was insignificant compared to $100,000, and passed. But if you do the math, you find out that in 30 days that penny is worth more than $10,000,000. Interesting way of looking at things!
Scoble also has some interesting marketing ideas. And he used himself as an example. He is about to become a father for the second time (his wife Maryam is due in September).
"When someone gets married, they are inundated with offers of products and services before the actual marriage itself. But not so with having a new child. At five months [into Maryam's pregnancy], we've already made a lot of the purchases for our new child: newer sturdier car, more insurance, etc. But no one marketed 'new baby' related products and services to us. We took care of that ourselves.
I think it will happen in the near future that someone like Google or someone else will be able to look at my online behavior and see the sites I visit, and aggregate that information into a pattern that says 'new baby on the way' and then start marketing to me at three months and get my business."
Talk about killer apps! We also chatted about Twitter (he likes it), people (he likes them), creative thinking (it comes easily to him), and Apple (it mystifies him). It was a great hour — the kind in which I could feel new connections being made in my mind.
Thanks again, Robert. Look forward to seeing you again soon!
Roger,
Thank you for introducing us to Robert. And thank you for sending an email telling us about the interview. Who says all the good marketers are dead? (Well, no one actually. Just wanted to make a point.)
Posted by: Lewis Green | 25 April 2007 at 10:34 AM
Roger:
One comment Scoble makes really resonates with me: right time/right place. As I'm working on looking at the future of my work differently, I know that all of these various activities I engage in on weekends and night, like blogging, writing for eBooks, speaking at chamber events and colleges, will pay off.
Why? Because if you cannot grab opportunities in your company, you will never know how you would have done.
You also talked about him building contacts with lots of people. There's an article in this month's Fast Company magazine that talks about another connector in Silicon Valley. Jobs may vary, your connections will be a lifelong net if you care for them.
Posted by: Valeria Maltoni | 25 April 2007 at 12:59 PM
Hello Roger,
Thank you for this brilliant interview. I'm glad to find out about Robert's marketing thoughts and also great blog and site.
I like to see the "open mind" of a visionary man : "Fine," he responded, "how about tomorrow at three?" - Wow! It says it all ! ! !
PS : I saw your post on Twitter. ; )
Posted by: mindblob | 25 April 2007 at 03:20 PM
"The two things that struck me about Scoble are his accessibility and affability."
Roger, dead on. I met Robert a while back and thought the same exact thing. I would also add "goofy" and "disarming" and I mean these in the best of ways. Robert doesn't take himself too seriously and he radiates a positive energy. I can tell he loves what he does and works really hard at it.
Glad you met him and had a good time.
Posted by: David Armano | 25 April 2007 at 03:45 PM
That's awesome that you guys got to meet each other. You guys definitely sound like two people that would get along well.
And, Roger, I wish I had the ability to just call people up as easily as you do. It's very refreshing!
I think it's time for a Von Oech/Scoble affability face-off!
Posted by: Paul McEnany | 25 April 2007 at 08:17 PM
Lewis: You're on my select list!
Valeria: Interesting comments. I've got a question for you: What percentage of your business outlook would you say is "American," and what percentage "Italian"? (The reason I ask is: how many of your Italian brethren think like you?)
Luc: Yes, Scoble's a trip.
David: Also, Scoble seems like a dead ringer for a young "Philip Seymour Hoffman."
Paul: You're in marketing. Of course you can just call people up.
Posted by: Roger von Oech | 25 April 2007 at 09:57 PM
Roger:
Maybe that is the basis for a guest interview here at Creative Think at some point... there's a lot more to it than a quick response in a comment.
You are right, Scoble could be a younger version of Seymour Hoffman.
Posted by: Valeria Maltoni | 26 April 2007 at 06:19 AM
Hey Roger- Great write-up, and it seems like you've got such an energized community on your blog that it speaks well for you as a connector and community guy yourself. Takes one to know one, as your writing about Robert clearly reveals.
The ball seems pretty neat, too. : )
Posted by: Chris Brogan... | 26 April 2007 at 07:20 AM
Roger -
That was really interesting. I agree with Scoble's view of the right message at the right time and I (as a consumer) would welcome that - especially if it stopped all the wrong messages at the wrong time from finding me!
Ironically though, I think it's interesting that Google's potential acquisition of Double-Click is being challenged on the basis of privacy. The complaintants (and the gov?) are worried that Google is amassing too much personal information on its users.
Somewhere along the line we're going to have to find the right balance between privacy and the killer apps we all want!!!
Thanks for a great read!
Ann
Posted by: ann michael | 27 April 2007 at 10:11 AM
I saw a funny interview with Robert you might like (someone is interviewing him for a change): http://hooman.tv/blog/?p=10
Posted by: Alison | 08 May 2007 at 08:11 PM